The existing sentiment among the party's representatives these days adheres to a Shakespearean principle. This states that the scale of every hardship is solely assessed in comparison to yet-to-come catastrophes. As Shakespeare has the outcast offspring of the visionless lord declare in King Lear: “The most terrible is absent, as long as we can say ‘this represents the lowest point’.”
As per this principle, there exists no public opinion measure so dismal regarding the party that won't be succeeded by one even bleaker; no fiscal forecast so bad that the exchequer won't exacerbate via contradictory signals on tax; no doubts regarding the leader that won't be heightened by malevolent briefing about a leadership challenge.
In that context, the recent announcement of plans designed to limit the number of displaced persons admitted to the UK, patterned after a famously strict Danish system, was taken more favorably by representatives than anticipated. There emerged flashes of backbench anger yet no wildfire of opposition.
Strengthening refugee regulations is not the party's natural territory, however the present arrangement is clearly failing and the public is enraged. Most MPs grasp the reasoning that tolerance and intercommunal harmony are simpler to foster provided there is trust that national frontiers are secure.
Reserved MP positions may also represent foreboding. Representatives have discovered that everything is negotiable under an aimless chief of malleable conviction. What is announced today might be reversed shortly. There exists no necessity to advance hastily when victories can be won through persistence.
A regular criticism involves the leader is barely running the cabinet at all, having delegated strategic choices to his principal advisor. However, this doesn't mean the leader lacks executive dynamism, he simply favors not to mediate in departmental disputes or undertake long debates.
The Prime Minister entered political parties at an advanced stage, first entering parliament during his early fifties. He lacks instinct about movement history – the collection of historical arguments, campaigns, characters and social allusions that bind a head to the wider movement and its sense of collective mission.
His deepest convictions remain unknown including to ministers. As one senior representative explains: “Keir is highly unusual as head of government in giving the impression that whatever he personally thinks is none of your business.”
The image presented representing the leader in the recent polling battle has also not delivered its purported benefits: managerial competence leading to countrywide revitalization. If Britain still had a two-party system, the recollection of past problems during Conservative rule could extend patience with Labour.
That presages a devastating defeat for party representatives in council and devolved elections in the coming spring. It will be a time of great danger for the Prime Minister, assuming he survives until then.
Missing from these evaluations appears unity on the identity of an alternative leader and how their programme might contrast from the current government's agenda. This weakness within succession arrangements is mentioned by supporters of the leader among numerous justifications to continue supporting the incumbent.
While restive MPs could hesitate regarding these alerts, they also hear through them the well-known, meaningless sound of low ambition that induces despair regarding present circumstances. It is the sound of inability to characterize the leadership as anything more than a sequence of tactics for maintaining position.
It proves difficult to generate allegiance to such a cause. Numerous parliamentarians have tried. They have adhered to the party line, justified it to constituents, followed party discipline, believed assurances that their issues received attention.
Prime ministerial ousting is fraught with risk, yet, might it be more dangerous compared to feigning that the present leader has answers about important matters which he doesn't identify? The Shakespearean principle invites caution regarding the replacement of an incumbent leader. The replacement might prove more disastrous.
“The heaviness of this sad time we must obey; Express genuine emotions, not what we ought to say.”
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